Posted by
Nathan on Thursday, May 31, 2007 6:34:01 PM
Ladies and Gentlemen,
I want everyone to be on the same page
with what I'm thinking right now about spending money and the state of
the economy. It's an important thing to save [money]because production
is at it's highest level in years and the economy will keep on growing
until it's satisfied. Once this happens, increased spending simply
translates into higher prices. Inflation is created by money that
becomes ineffective in driving jobs growth (among other factors) and
this will cause the Fed to cut back the money supply to decrease
consumption demand and shift spending to [long-term] investments.
What I'm asking you to do right now is to take the initiative and lower
your spending because the money in your bank account is on loan to you
from the Fed. That is, the nominal money supply is a temporary pool of
funds that can dry up and which will dry up as soon as the economy
reaches it's full potential and we begin to experience diminishing
marginal returns.
> Please don't get frustrated with what I'm
saying or how I'm saying it. There is not an easier way, just listen.
Diminishing marginal returns means that you get less and less from your
money or, specifically, the economy grows less and less with each
dollar spent.
--> Think of it as a lions' cage at the zoo.
You go see the keepers feed the lions at noon and of course those
beasts have been kept hungry for a few days so they will be growling
when the meat comes out. Have you seen what happens when that meat gets
thrown into the cage? The lions growl loudly and aggressively tear the
flesh apart.
This is what it is like in the economy when demand
gets pent up (with high interest rates over time). The Fed releases
liquidity from their vaults and the hungry economy just eats it up and
grows... The thing is that once those lions are satisfied, the meat can
be thrown into the cage, but the lions won't fight over it. In fact,
they won't even go over there to pick it up; rather, they will just lie
there and bask in the sun with full bellies while the meat rots. That
is wasted meat and money represents the meat. Don't waste.
What
I'm asking you to do is put off making any big purchases and limit your
habitual consumption to a reasonable level to benefit the economy. This
is asking you to sacrifice your own consumption for the greater good, I
know. But it's not too much to ask because the proposition is less
altruistic (benevolent, unselfish) than you might think. Saving will
prosper you because when the funds dry up, you will have money rather
than needing it and getting used by creditors who charge exorbitant
interest rates on loans.
Don't get taken advantage of by
creditors when you don't have money (-->ex: maxing out your cc @ 20%
interest). Instead, save your money and loan it to others so that you
can make more! You might be asking, well how can I loan to others, I'm
not a bank? That's not a dumb question; you loan money anytime you buy
stock, bond, mutual fund investments and the like. When you buy a bond,
it is like loaning that face value over a set period of time (unless
you sell it).
Do you want to know what separates the people who
have money and those who don't? Do you want to know why 'those who have
will always get more and those who don't will actually lose more'? The
reason is that people who 'have' think ahead and plan for times when
supplies run short. When supply is short, the opportunity cost of
holding is high ~ you could be loaning it to others and making profits
off the excess you're holding! And that's what they do. Now why don't
you join the ranks of the 'monied classes' and start saving!
I'll get to specifics in a minute, but first I want to make a clear
distinction. That is, don't think of your economic prosperity in terms
of 'the economy'. (-->ex: I don't have money or a job right now
becuase the economy is bad). The economy is not bad or good per se. It
only fluctuates between high and low levels of growth. If you want to
reduce uncertainty associatied with these 'cycles' then pay attention
to your spending habits and save money to to do just that. It won't
matter if the economy is in a high state of growth or a recession (God
save us from another depression) because you have thought ahead and are
ready for what comes.
Money is relative; people say that they
could have better lives with a higher income, but this is not true (to
an extent). Quality of life depends on what you can afford. This might
seem like hair splitting, but I assure you it is not. You may afford
much but choose not to consume in order to increase your options and
assure that they remain open. At the same time, you may afford little
but choose to consume all that you can, thereby reducing your options
to a card game ~ you must be shrewd and conniving or else just play
with the hand you are dealt. Please, don't just let the cards fall as
they may. Save your money for a rainy day.
I have spoken with a
friend recently and she had mentioned buying a new condo. I told her,
yes that is great. I'm proud of you and that is the best direction
(saving) you could possibly go. To be sure, borrowing is not the same
as saving, but taking out a mortgage and building equity in a home is
making an investment. This is quite possibly the most sound investment
you can make.
For those of you with a house, keep on building
equity which will stratify you in any case. If you haven't considered
investing, you should look into it (you can buy mutual funds directly
from any Wells Fargo ATM). While I don't consider myself at liberty to
give advice on investing particulars just yet, I'd like to extend my
idea of a good savings plan. I'll take just a minute more to explain a
useful method.
Limit essential spending to 60%. This includes
your mortgage (unless you are just starting out), car payment,
insurance, groceries, vacations, dining out, etc. By saving as you are,
you will be accomplishing three things:
1. Planning ahead for consumption when money is tight, thereby stabilizing your personal income cycles and reducing uncertainty.
2.
Making money off your surplus when the money supply has been decreased
because higher interest rates mean higher returns on your investments.
3.
Stabilizing the business cycles in the economy ~ less spending in a
period of full employment and nearly satiated goods/services markets
equals less inflation or waste.
I don't want to beat a
dead horse, here, but don't get caught in the age-old trap of
gluttonous overspending when prosperity seems endless. It is not. Save
your money rather than spending it so that you can avoid being reaped
by creditors (-->ex: maxing out credit cards @ a 20% interest rate).
Don't get steeped in debt! And if you already are, get out! And if
you're laughing right now, just keep on laughing... it won't be funny
later.
Here's a link that explains a proper savings plan. Click for further details.
http://moneycentral.msn.com/content/Savinganddebt/Learntobudget/P36153.asp